XRP’s higher-timeframe construction is approaching a uncommon technical milestone on the month-to-month chart. The cryptocurrency continues to be on an prolonged pullback from its 2025 highs above $3 and is now buying and selling round $1.38. If the present worth motion trajectory holds into month-end, XRP may shut February with the fifth straight pink month-to-month candle.
Such streaks are unusual for XRP, and so they have all the time come earlier than main turning factors. Now that March is approaching, the query is whether or not XRP is about to increase its dropping run or lastly break the sample with a reversal.
Uncommon 5-Month Slide On The Month-to-month Chart
The month-to-month XRP/USD chart exhibits a transparent sequence of pink candles stretching from late 2025 into early 2026. Every candle has closed beneath its open, forming a gradual downward staircase from above $3.00 to the present vary between $1.30 and $1.40.
Apparently, that is a part of an prolonged run of worth corrections since XRP reached an all-time excessive of $3.65 in July 2025. Since this all-time excessive, XRP has solely created one inexperienced month-to-month candlestick, which was in September 2025.
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XRP opened February round $1.64. If February closes beneath this worth stage, it will mark 5 consecutive month-to-month declines. The final time XRP’s worth motion had 5 consecutive pink months was in early 2017, a interval that finally preceded one in every of XRP’s strongest bull phases. The one different time earlier than then was when it printed six straight pink month-to-month candles in 2014.
That historic context is what makes the present setup notable. Lengthy dropping streaks on the month-to-month timeframe are finally going to result in a slowdown in promoting stress, significantly since XRP is now above a notable structural help zone. On the time of writing, this structural help zone is the $1.20 area, the place XRP bulls managed to cease additional promoting stress in early February.
XRP Month-to-month Value Chart. Supply: @Bird_XRPL On X
Is March Extra Doubtless To Flip Inexperienced?
Now that February is about to finish, the following outlook is how XRP performs in March. In accordance to a crypto analyst referred to as Chicken on X, primarily based on earlier worth motion, we’re nearer to a inexperienced month than one other pink one. Due to this fact, there’s a excessive chance that XRP closes March with a inexperienced candlestick.
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Nonetheless, prolonged pink runs don’t robotically translate into explosive upside strikes. Some market individuals are speculating a few God candle that would erase the previous 5 months of losses in a single month. Nonetheless, the broader market construction at present is completely different from earlier cycles. XRP’s market capitalization is considerably bigger than it was in earlier bull runs, and rallies would require extra capital inflows.
From a chance standpoint, XRP’s restoration may very well be rather more regular over time, not by means of a right away parabolic surge. That might seemingly contain reclaiming intermediate resistance zones first, together with the $1.60, $2.00, and $2.50 ranges, earlier than a push above $2.80 and $3.00.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
