Crypto analyst Quantum Ascend has revealed a weekly-chart “roadmap” for Shiba Inu (SHIB) in a brand new video, laying out three upside targets for a possible altcoin cycle, whereas warning that SHIB’s deep multi-year drawdown might cap the transfer if macro circumstances deteriorate.
The Base Case For Shiba Inu Value
In his X put up, Quantum Ascend listed “Altseason Targets” as a conservative stage (“$0.47 e-8,” as written), a “Major” goal of $0.00014, and a “Blow-Off” goal of $0.00035. Within the video, the analyst anchored the roadmap to Elliott Wave-style construction and Fibonacci extensions, and emphasised that the bullish path is conditional, not assured.
Ranging from SHIB’s 2021 peak and the following collapse, the analyst mentioned the drawdown returned worth to a traditionally significant zone: “Depend out the 5 wave strikes there fairly cleanly, however since then, nothing however a drawdown… Got here again down proper into this wave 4 low.”
Associated Studying
From that setup, Quantum Ascend argued the decline might be learn as a “crashing sample” that always resolves with a reversal again towards prior highs.
“So you may have your 5 waves down, and sometimes what’ll occur, worth will roll again as much as the fourth wave, after which what it does is it’s going to return take out this fifth wave. That is six, come take out that fifth wave, even when it’s just a bit for a wave seven, then it’s finished and it turns again the opposite route, proper? So once we’re taking a look at it from this attitude, we will see fairly textbook for the extent it went to,” the analyst mentioned.
“So now that you simply see the case for a brand new excessive… we acquired to begin taking these fibs into play right here and determine, all proper, the place’s some logical worth ranges for this factor to finish up.”
Quantum Ascend then flagged the largest constraint: SHIB’s magnitude of drawdown relative to prior-cycle habits. “The one factor that’s stopping me from saying, yep, 100%, we’re going to see new highs, goes again to 2021, worth is down 93% on the worst and proper now down 92%,” the analyst mentioned.
“Again in 2021, cash that set their highs in 2017 and had a 90% plus drawdown didn’t set new highs within the 2021 cycle… So this can be a four-year vary down 90 plus p.c. It matches the parameter of a few of these different cash that by no means ended up going off into a brand new all-time excessive.”
Associated Studying
If that historic analog holds, the analyst mentioned SHIB could possibly be tracing a bigger corrective construction fairly than a recent impulse. “If that’s the case, then this rely could be 5 waves up after which now we have an A, B into the retracements, after which C would begin taking us a lot decrease. That coincides with a recession-depression sort really feel,” the analyst mentioned, including: “And I do consider that that’s the base case shifting ahead right here… It’s simply actually necessary to grasp the broader macro local weather. Like this Shiba isn’t going until the whole lot else is lined up.”
The Bullish Case For SHIB Value
Even so, Quantum Ascend laid out upside zones utilizing confluence between broader and nearer-term Fibonacci ranges. The analyst’s acknowledged major goal for an “altseason surroundings” is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at roughly $0.00014 which interprets to a 1,800% rally from the present worth. He added: “My blow-off goes to be a full 4.236 extension right here of this vary.” The blow-off situation hits $0.00035, however was offered by him as technically attainable however unlikely.
Market-cap math was used as a actuality examine. “The factor I’ll say about SHIB is it’s at a $4.2 billion market cap proper now. That’s fairly huge, particularly for what it’s,” the analyst mentioned, estimating {that a} transfer to the conservative space would indicate roughly a $25 billion valuation and that essentially the most excessive situation would push into triple-digit billions. “That’s huge getting up there… That’s like a 50x from the place we’re at. And at that time, you’re speaking 200 billion for a coin that doesn’t actually do something… Under no circumstances, form, or type is that this my base case.”
$SHIB | @Shibtoken 📽️
Macro Construction Factors to New Highs ↗️
Altseason Targets🎯
➤➤ Conservative: $0.47 e-8
➤➤ Major: $0.00014 ✅
➤➤ Blow-Off: $0.00035Right here’s the Roadmap👇 pic.twitter.com/nWxQsVtLvv
— Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) December 18, 2025
Regardless of publishing upside targets, Quantum Ascend careworn exit self-discipline over maximal upside seize, noting he doesn’t maintain SHIB. “I don’t personal this coin, but when I did, I’d be layered out all on this space [from the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $0.00004699] … I’d be finished by the point it acquired as much as that 1.618 Fibonacci at $0.00014,” the analyst mentioned, arguing that “greenback price averaging each out and in is a superb technique” in a meme-coin commerce that finally depends upon broader liquidity and threat urge for food.
At press time, SHIB traded at $0.00000738.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
