Bitcoin (BTC) prolonged its weak point into the low-liquidity weekend buying and selling session, with BTC slipping to a five-week low of $86,000 on Sunday. The cryptocurrency may doubtlessly retest its macro low of $66,000 over the approaching weeks, a key help degree from November 2024.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin dropped beneath $87,000 on Sunday as its momentum weakened.
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The Coinbase Premium hit a 12-month low, reflecting sturdy US spot Bitcoin promoting strain.
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Bitcoin’s bearish setup targets a $66,800 BTC value.
Bitcoin faces stronger promoting strain within the US
The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the worth distinction between BTC on Coinbase and Binance, flipped crimson in mid-December 2025, dropping as little as -0.17. The final time the index was this low was in December 2024.
Associated: BTC value ‘bottoming part’ ends: 5 issues to know in Bitcoin this week
Even throughout short-term rebounds, BTC trades at a gentle low cost on Coinbase versus different main exchanges. The index has stayed detrimental for greater than 5 weeks now (see the chart beneath).
“The Coinbase Premium continues to drop sharply and widen, indicating considerably stronger BTC promoting strain on Coinbase in comparison with different exchanges,” derivatives knowledge supplier CoinGlass mentioned in an X publish on Monday.
The Coinbase Premium Index is “firmly beneath zero, exhibiting continued promote strain from U.S. spot flows,” CryptoQuant analyst TeddyVision mentioned in a latest QuickTake evaluation.
Traditionally, a chronic detrimental Coinbase Premium has been related to “capital transferring away from US exchanges, and little proof of aggressive dip-buying by long-term holders,” the analyst mentioned, including:
“Till the premium stabilizes and turns constructive, the upside stays fragile.”
When the index stayed predominantly detrimental between Dec. 18, 2024 and Jan. 5, 2025, it was accompanied by an 18% value drop over the identical interval.
Equally, the index stayed detrimental between February 2025 and April 2025, resulting in a 32% BTC value drop to $74,500 on April 7, 2025, from its earlier all-time excessive of $109,000.
If US spot demand continues to fade, market members may even see an identical drawdown in BTC value over the approaching weeks or months.
Moreover, institutional demand has declined sharply, with US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recording about $1.72 billion in outflows during the last 5 days.
Coupled with greater than $1.7 billion in outflows from crypto funding merchandise final week, this factors to a persistent bearish sentiment throughout the market.
How low can Bitcoin value go?
Veteran dealer Peter Brandt flagged a “promote sign” after the BTC/USD pair confirmed a bearish technical sample.
“One more promote sign in Bitcoin as a bear channel has been accomplished,” Brandt mentioned in an X publish on Monday.
Brandt’s chart factors to extra draw back danger if the worth doesn’t reclaim $93,000 degree as help.
“The worth must reclaim $93K to negate.”
The measured goal of the sample, calculated by including the peak of the preliminary drop to the breakout level at $90,000, is $66,800, representing a 22% decline from the present value. This degree additionally roughly aligns with earlier BTC value highs from 2021 and 2024.
As Cointelegraph reported, the world between $80,000 and $84,000 stays a key help zone for Bitcoin, and holding it’s essential to avoiding additional losses.
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