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Market Forecast for September 15 – 19, 2025 – Analytics & Forecasts – 13 September 2025

The week ended with markets awaiting the important thing Federal Reserve assembly on September 16–17. The euro held round 1.1730, Bitcoin resumed its progress, the typical Brent crude value remained at $66.50 per barrel, whereas gold as soon as once more renewed its all-time excessive.

💶 EUR/USD

The euro closed the week at 1.1734. Consumers are vigorously defending the 1.1700 assist zone, so bearish stress has solely had short-lived success. Since August 27, the pair has been transferring inside an upward channel, and if it manages to consolidate above 1.1750, this can open the best way towards 1.1800. Nonetheless, failure to interrupt increased might set off a pullback to the 1.1680-1.1700 space after which one other 100 factors decrease. It must be famous that each development instructions and volatility will largely rely not solely on the Fed’s choices on September 16-17 but additionally on the statements made by its officers in the course of the subsequent press convention. Value fluctuations at these occasions might go effectively past the above-mentioned ranges, so it could be clever for merchants to attend till market turbulence subsides considerably.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin ended the week at 116,245, rising from weekly lows close to 110,600. The bulls’ subsequent targets are 117,500 and 123,250, adopted by a retest of the all-time excessive of 124,560 set on August 14. If the development reverses, the closest assist lies at 113,500-114,000, then at 112,000, with 110,000 as the important thing draw back goal.

🛢 Brent

Brent crude has lengthy been transferring round its Pivot Level at 66.50, and this time it closed buying and selling nearly on the identical stage – $66.59 per barrel. Since mid-August, the bears have failed to interrupt the assist at 64.80–65.00. A transfer beneath this zone would open the best way towards 62.50–63.00. One other rebound towards 68.00–70.00 can’t be dominated out, however stress from potential OPEC+ oversupply is more likely to persist. Subsequently, additional progress at this stage appears to be like unlikely.

🥇 XAU/USD

Gold completed Friday at $3,643 per ounce, near the most recent all-time excessive of $3,674 reached on September 9. The uptrend stays intact, with near-term targets at 3,675-3,700. Nonetheless, corrective pullbacks to three,600-3,580 or deeper to three,525-3,500 are additionally extremely attainable. The Fed’s coverage this week would be the decisive issue for additional dynamics.

🔎 Conclusion

The primary occasion of the week of September 15–19 would be the Federal Reserve’s assembly on September 16-17, together with its charge determination and Jerome Powell’s press convention (volatility is assured). Extra focus will fall on Germany’s ZEW sentiment index and US retail gross sales due on September 16. On September 17, markets await UK inflation knowledge in addition to industrial manufacturing and retail gross sales figures from China. September 18 will see the Financial institution of England’s coverage assembly with its determination on the pound’s rate of interest, whereas the US will launch jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed index. The week will conclude on September 19 with Japan’s inflation knowledge, ultimate eurozone inflation readings, and the College of Michigan client sentiment index within the US.

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