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Mirage Buying and selling System – PART 6: SYSTEM RISKS & LIMITATIONS – Buying and selling Methods – 5 February 2026

Mirage Buying and selling System – Buying and selling Methods – 5 February 2026 – Merchants’ Blogs

PART 6: SYSTEM RISKS & LIMITATIONS

6.1 Disclaimer

Essential — Please learn fastidiously.

Mirage Buying and selling System (MTS) is a technical evaluation assist instrument. It’s NOT an automatic buying and selling system and it’s NOT funding recommendation.

What you must perceive Rationalization
No revenue assure No buying and selling system can assure a 100% win price.
Previous efficiency ≠ future outcomes Backtest outcomes don’t symbolize actual buying and selling efficiency.
The ultimate resolution is yours MTS gives info solely; you resolve when to enter/exit trades.
Threat of capital loss Foreign exchange/CFD buying and selling can lead to dropping your whole capital.

Authorized discover:

  • This product isn’t monetary, funding, or authorized recommendation.

  • Customers are solely liable for their very own buying and selling selections.

  • Don’t commerce with cash you can’t afford to lose.

  • Seek the advice of a professional monetary skilled earlier than buying and selling.

6.2 Technical limitations of the system

Timeframe limitations

Timeframe Reliability Notes
M1, M5 Low Excessive noise, extra false alerts.
M15, M30 Medium Appropriate for skilled scalpers.
H1, H4 Excessive Really helpful for many merchants.
D1, W1 Very excessive Fewer alerts, however larger high quality.

Image/instrument limitations

Works finest on:

  • XAUUSD (Gold)

  • Main pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

  • Cross pairs: EURJPY, GBPJPY

Use warning on:

  • Unique pairs (low liquidity)

  • Crypto (excessive volatility)

  • Shares/Indices (completely different market construction)

System useful resource limitations

Element Restrict Affect if exceeded
MTF Scanner symbols As much as 150 Lag, timeouts.
MTF Scanner timeframes 7 TF Longer scan time.
Indicators on chart ~500 Efficiency slowdown doable.
Dashboard rows 50 Not all rows might be displayed.


6.3 Market dangers

Unpredictable dangers

Threat kind Description Can MTS deal with it?
Sudden information NFP, FOMC, battle, and so on. NO
Flash crash Sudden value collapse NO
Weekend gaps Market opens removed from Friday shut NO
Unfold widening Throughout low liquidity NO
Slippage Stuffed value differs from requested value NO

Instances to keep away from buying and selling

Time Purpose
Earlier than main information NFP, CPI, FOMC could cause sharp volatility.
Late Friday session Wider spreads, low liquidity.
Early Monday session Gaps, unstable volatility.
Holidays Extraordinarily low liquidity.


6.4 Limitations of the liquidity-trap sample

When the sample might carry out poorly

Scenario Rationalization
Prolonged sideways market Many consecutive false breakouts.
Extraordinarily robust development An actual breakout happens (not a false breakout).
Volatility too low Sample is unclear.
Volatility too excessive An excessive amount of noise.

Life like win price

Essential: No sample has a 100% win price.

Circumstances Anticipated win price
No filters 40–50%
With High quality Filter 50–60%
Full filters + finest circumstances 55–65%

Be aware: The numbers above are estimates based mostly on backtesting and don’t assure future outcomes.

Patterns NOT detected

MTS does NOT detect the next:

MTS ONLY detects: Inside Bar False Breakout (liquidity-trap sample).


6.5 Limitations of the filters

High quality Filter

Execs Limitations
Filters out unclear patterns Could miss good alerts.
Based mostly on candle construction Doesn’t consider broader context.

Excessive Zone Filter

Execs Limitations
Avoids overbought/oversold zones In robust tendencies, value might preserve shifting additional.
Based mostly on Donchian/ATR logic Not the identical as RSI/Stochastic.

Reverse Filter

Execs Limitations
Avoids conflicting alerts Could miss true reversals.
Retains consistency Can block legitimate alerts.


6.6 Dangers when utilizing with an EA

Technical dangers

Threat Description Mitigation
Connection loss EA doesn’t obtain alerts Use VPS, backup connection.
Buffer delay Buffer information might lag by 1 bar Use “anticipate affirmation” logic.
Incorrect lot dimension Flawed place sizing Validate earlier than buying and selling. 
A number of orders Opens a number of trades without delay Use a novel Magic Quantity.

Operational dangers

Threat Description
No human intervention EA might preserve buying and selling throughout unhealthy information.
Over-optimization Works in backtest however fails stay.
Dealer points Requotes, rejected orders.

Suggestions when utilizing an EA:

  1. Check on a demo account for at the very least 1 month earlier than going stay.

  2. Restrict most each day threat (e.g., 3% of the account).

  3. Add a cease mechanism when drawdown is simply too excessive.

  4. Monitor commonly—don’t “set and neglect”.


6.7 Threat administration suggestions

Golden guidelines

Rule Particulars
1% Rule Don’t threat greater than 1–2% of your account per commerce.
3% Day by day Cease buying and selling for those who lose 3% in a day.
10% Weekly Cease and assessment for those who lose 10% in every week.

Place dimension method

Place Dimension = (Account × Threat%) / (SL pips × Pip Worth)

Instance:

Place Dimension = $100 / (50 × $10) = 0.20 lot

Pre-trade guidelines

  •  Did you verify as we speak’s information?

  •  Is the minimal Threat/Reward at the very least 1:2?

  •  Did you calculate the proper lot dimension?

  •  Are SL and TP set?

  •  Are you staying inside 2% threat?


6.8 What the system can not do

MTS is NOT

MTS isn’t Rationalization
An automatic buying and selling robotic MTS is an indicator; it doesn’t open/shut trades robotically.
A information prediction system It can not know when main information will occur.
Elementary evaluation It depends on value motion solely.
Automated cash administration You need to calculate lot dimension your self.
Loss insurance coverage There isn’t any technique to keep away from losses 100%.

MTS can not

Can’t Purpose
Assure each commerce wins No system can try this.
Predict with 100% accuracy Markets all the time include randomness.
Exchange expertise You need to perceive market context.
Work offline Requires MT5 and real-time information.

Help contact

You probably have technical points or questions:

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