A rogue actor working from an Ethereum pockets ‘BornTooLate.Eth’ has engaged in a governance assault on UMA, a decision-making oracle utilized by Polymarket, to assault the end result of a Ukraine-themed contract by changing into one of many largest holders of UMA tokens.
UMA is a decentralized “optimistic” oracle protocol that resolves disputes in prediction markets by permitting UMA token holders to vote on contentious outcomes. It has confronted its share of controversy for resolving disputed markets, akin to Barron Trump’s involvement in a Presidential meme coin, the character of ‘discovering’ the OceanGate submarine, and Venezuela’s contested election, drawing criticism as a consequence of subjective choices that annoyed sure market individuals.
On-chain information exhibits that BornTooLate.eth has roughly 1.3 million UMA tokens, making them a top-5 governance staker and giving them important sway over the decision of UMA disputes.

Within the case of this Ukraine-themed market that was attacked, the contract requested bettors to take a position on the potential of a deal being signed involving U.S. entry to the nation’s charge earth sources by the tip of March.

A deal is within the works, reviews say, however nothing has been signed. And but on Polymarket, it resolved to ‘sure’ after BornTooLate.Eth used his staked UMA tokens to vote ‘sure’ on the decision.
A Very Unprofitable Buying and selling Technique
Curiously, this assault would not appear to have netted a big payday for any of the individuals.
Market information from on-chain curator Polymarket Analytics exhibits that the biggest winner from the contract took dwelling simply over $55,000.

Likewise, the losses have been fairly reasonable in comparison with different closely-watched Polymarket contracts with the largest loser forfeiting round $73,000.
An etherscan web page for BornTooLate.Eth exhibits that the actor started accumulating UMA tokens over a 12 months in the past. Given their holdings of over 1.3 million tokens, constructing that type of treasury for the assault would have value over $2 million.
For its half, Polymarket says no refunds shall be issued as a result of this is not a “market failure” and mentioned in a press release on Discord it’s working with the UMA oracle group to stop it from taking place once more.
“This market resolved towards the expectations of our customers and our clarification,” a spokesperson posted on Discord. “We’re dedicated to constructing the way forward for prediction markets, which requires constructing resilient programs during which everybody can belief.”
Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan did not instantly reply to a request for remark.